SEDG Case Study: 7 signals, all losses — full transparency
JumpstartSignal flagged SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG) on 7 individual trading days across 3 signal clusters between 2019 and 2019.
$60.54
(vs +157% SPY)
3 clusters
out of 100
- Signal Breakdown
- 🏆 5 SPOTLIGHT ✅ 1 OPPORTUNITY 📌 1 MONITOR
- Win Rate
- 0% (0/7 positive)
- Price Buckets
- 🚀 Growth ($5–$20) · ⚖️ Momentum ($20–$100)
About SolarEdge Technologies
SolarEdge Technologies designs and manufactures solar inverters, power optimizers, and energy storage solutions for residential and commercial solar installations worldwide.
The Story
SolarEdge would have appeared in JumpstartSignal's pipeline 7 times across 3 clusters in 2019, with entry prices between $60 and $96. At the time, solar was a momentum sector with strong revenue growth — exactly the kind of profile our system scores well. Every signal lost money. The best entry returned -49% and the worst -68%, measured to the as-of date. The solar sector experienced a severe contraction as rising interest rates, supply chain issues, and policy uncertainty crushed valuations. The system correctly identified momentum at the time, but the sector environment deteriorated after the signals fired.
Signal Log — All 7 Days
Every day SEDG passed our 5-stage pipeline, with the signal level and score breakdown. How scoring works →
Returns measured from entry price to 2026-02-01. Split-adjusted OHLCV. Score breakdown: Q=quality (0–60), E=entry (0–20), S=sentiment (0–10), B=sector bonus (0–10). Sentiment scores show as 0 because backtests use historical data — AI news sentiment analysis is only available in our live daily screening. In live mode, positive news coverage typically adds 5–10 points. Past performance does not indicate future results.
What If You Invested $10,000 at the First Signal?
Hypothetical buy-and-hold from first signal date to 2026-02-01. Not investment advice.
What This Teaches
SolarEdge is our most important case study because it shows a clear loss. The system flagged strong momentum and fundamentals — and it was right about those at the time of each signal. But momentum screening cannot predict sector-wide collapses driven by macro factors. This is why position sizing and diversification matter. In a portfolio of dozens of signals, losses like SEDG are absorbed by winners like NVDA and IDXX. The system's overall win rate means roughly 1 in 3 signals loses money — but the winners far outweigh the losses in aggregate.
See how the full 5-stage pipeline and scoring system works →
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