📡 Signal Research
Each signal below is validated across 14 years of historical data using walk-forward analysis, mutual information, and elastic net regression before earning any scoring weight. Click a card to see the full backtest deep-dive.
Entry signals — timing
SMA20/50 Bullish Crossover entryThe SMA20/50 bullish crossover fires when a stock's 20-day simple moving average crosses above its 50-day SMA within the past 5 trading days — a short-to-medium term trend confirmation signal used as an entry timing qualifier.
56% consistent at 5yr › RSI (Relative Strength Index) entryRSI(14) measures the speed and magnitude of recent price changes on a 0–100 scale. In JumpStartSignal it works as a hard gate: any stock with RSI above 70 is excluded at Stage 2 before scoring begins, keeping every scored candidate at a technically approachable — not extended — entry point.
28% consistent at 5yr › MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) entryMACD (12,26,9) measures momentum by comparing a fast 12-day EMA to a slower 26-day EMA. When the MACD line crosses above its 9-day signal line, short-term buying momentum is accelerating — one of the most widely-used entry timing triggers in technical analysis.
52% consistent at 7yr › VWMA+MACD Confluence entryThe VWMA+MACD Confluence fires when two conditions align: the stock's price is above its 20-day rolling VWMA (buying pressure confirmed) and the MACD line has just crossed above its signal line (short-term momentum turning up). Requiring both filters together makes this a higher-conviction entry trigger than either signal alone.
56% consistent at 5yr › Breakout Volume entryBreakout Volume fires when a meaningful price move is accompanied by unusually high trading volume — evidence that the move reflects broad participation rather than a thin-market drift.
56% consistent at 1yr › SMA20/50 Bearish Crossover entryThe SMA20/50 bearish crossover fires when a stock's 20-day simple moving average crosses below its 50-day SMA. Conventional wisdom calls it a bearish signal. Our data tells a different story.
40% consistent at 3yr ›Quality signals — fundamentals & trend
MA Stack (Moving Average Stack) qualityThe MA Stack fires when a stock's price is above its 50-day SMA, which is above the 150-day SMA, which is above the 200-day SMA — all four levels aligned in ascending order. It confirms the stock is trending upward across every major timeframe simultaneously.
› Near 52-Week High qualityThe Near 52-Week High signal fires when a stock's current price is within 25% of its highest closing price over the past 52 weeks. It identifies stocks in confirmed long-term leadership positions — near their annual peak rather than deep in a prolonged decline.
24% consistent at 1yr › VWMA Bullish qualityVWMA Bullish fires when a stock's price is above its 20-day volume-weighted moving average — showing that recent buyers are in profit and buying pressure has dominated recent sessions. JumpStartSignal uses a 20-day rolling VWMA for swing and position trading, not the intraday VWAP used in day trading.
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