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๐Ÿง  COMPARE ยท ADBE ยท INTC

ADBE vs INTC: 4 Signal Clusters, Full Record

How did Adobe (ADBE) and Intel Corporation (INTC) fare under JumpstartSignal's 5-stage screening pipeline across our full 2012โ€“2025 walk-forward backtest? We flagged ADBE 2 times (5 signal days, first signal in 2015) and INTC 2 times (4 signal days, first signal in 2017). Every entry price, return, and SPY comparison below is from the frozen backtest snapshot.

Verdict: Across the 2012โ€“2025 backtest, ADBE led INTC by +98% average alpha. The strongest ADBE print was +256% held from Oct 2, 2015. Same sector (Technology) on both sides, so this isn't a sector bet, it's a setup-quality comparison.

Head-to-Head Stats

ADBE โœ… OPPORTUNITY Adobe ยท Technology

+256%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY-67%
Win rate100% (2/2)
First flaggedOct 2, 2015
First entry price$82.26
Total signal days5

INTC โœ… OPPORTUNITY Intel Corporation ยท Technology

+20%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY-164%
Win rate100% (2/2)
First flaggedDec 18, 2017
First entry price$38.59
Total signal days4

Per-Signal Returns

Each bar below shows the best return from one signal cluster, held from the entry date through Feb 1, 2026. The SPY return over the same period is shown alongside each entry, alpha is the gap between the two.

ADBE Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Oct 2, 2015 $82.26 +256% +305% -48%
Dec 15, 2015 $94.02 +212% +297% -85%

INTC Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Dec 18, 2017 $38.59 +20% +190% -170%
Jan 30, 2018 $39.75 +17% +176% -159%

What This Teaches

Which stock a quant system picks more often says more about price-action shape than about the business. ADBE kept printing clean SMA20/50 crossover + breakout-volume setups (2 distinct clusters over 14 years); INTC printed them 2ร— in the same window. Same universe, same rules, different output, and that is exactly what a rules-based pipeline is supposed to produce.

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FAQ

Is ADBE or INTC a better momentum stock?

In our 14-year backtest, ADBE had an average alpha of -67% per signal versus -164% for INTC. ADBE produced 2 buy clusters vs 2 for INTC.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag ADBE?

Oct 2, 2015 at an entry price of $82.26 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned +256% held to the snapshot date, versus +305% for SPY over the same period.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag INTC?

Dec 18, 2017 at an entry price of $38.59 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned +20% held to the snapshot date, versus +190% for SPY.

Does this mean one stock is a buy and the other isn't?

No. Historical signal frequency and past returns are not buy recommendations. Our pipeline identifies entries that would have matched the template historically. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use these pages as methodology research, not investment advice.

Where does the underlying data come from?

All entries on this page come from the R30 walk-forward validated backtest covering 2012-2025 (the 'seo_active' snapshot in our golden archive). Entry prices, returns, and SPY comparisons are computed from end-of-day OHLCV and frozen at snapshot time. See our methodology for details.