APP vs FTNT: Head-to-Head Signal Returns (2012–2025)
How did AppLovin Corporation (APP) and Fortinet (FTNT) fare under JumpstartSignal's 5-stage screening pipeline across our full 2012–2025 walk-forward backtest? We flagged APP 1 time (1 signal day, first signal in 2024) and FTNT 4 times (6 signal days, first signal in 2018). Every entry price, return, and SPY comparison below is from the frozen backtest snapshot.
Head-to-Head Stats
APP ✅ OPPORTUNITY AppLovin Corporation · Technology
FTNT ✅ OPPORTUNITY Fortinet · Technology
Per-Signal Returns
Each bar below shows the best return from one signal cluster, held from the entry date through Feb 1, 2026. The SPY return over the same period is shown alongside each entry, alpha is the gap between the two.
APP Signal Clusters
| Entry Date | Entry Price | Return | SPY Return | Alpha vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2024 | $83.22 | +468% | +28% | +440% |
FTNT Signal Clusters
| Entry Date | Entry Price | Return | SPY Return | Alpha vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2018 | $11.80 | +589% | +187% | +401% |
| Aug 2, 2018 | $14.75 | +451% | +173% | +278% |
| Oct 19, 2021 | $66.38 | +22% | +60% | -37% |
| Dec 17, 2021 | $66.77 | +22% | +58% | -36% |
What This Teaches
Which stock a quant system picks more often says more about price-action shape than about the business. FTNT kept printing clean SMA20/50 crossover + breakout-volume setups (4 distinct clusters over 14 years); APP printed them 1× in the same window. Same universe, same rules, different output, and that is exactly what a rules-based pipeline is supposed to produce.
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FAQ
Is APP or FTNT a better momentum stock?
In our 14-year backtest, APP had an average alpha of +440% per signal versus +151% for FTNT. APP produced 1 buy cluster vs 4 for FTNT.
When did JumpstartSignal first flag APP?
Jun 28, 2024 at an entry price of $83.22 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned +468% held to the snapshot date, versus +28% for SPY over the same period.
When did JumpstartSignal first flag FTNT?
May 9, 2018 at an entry price of $11.80 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned +589% held to the snapshot date, versus +187% for SPY.
Does this mean one stock is a buy and the other isn't?
No. Historical signal frequency and past returns are not buy recommendations. Our pipeline identifies entries that would have matched the template historically. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use these pages as methodology research, not investment advice.
Where does the underlying data come from?
All entries on this page come from the R30 walk-forward validated backtest covering 2012-2025 (the 'seo_active' snapshot in our golden archive). Entry prices, returns, and SPY comparisons are computed from end-of-day OHLCV and frozen at snapshot time. See our methodology for details.