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๐Ÿง  COMPARE ยท BKNG ยท SEDG

BKNG vs SEDG: Buy Signal vs Watchlist-Only

How did Booking Holdings (BKNG) and SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG) fare under JumpstartSignal's 5-stage screening pipeline across our full 2012โ€“2025 walk-forward backtest? We flagged BKNG 2 times (2 signal days, first signal in 2013) and SEDG 10 times (26 signal days, first signal in 2017). Every entry price, return, and SPY comparison below is from the frozen backtest snapshot.

๐Ÿ“Œ Note: SEDG only ever reached our MONITOR watchlist tier, it was never promoted to a SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal. BKNG did reach SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY. That asymmetry is the story of this comparison.

Verdict: BKNG is the only one of this pair our pipeline ever promoted to a buy: 2 SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY clusters, best entry +584% from Apr 12, 2013. SEDG only ever cleared the MONITOR watchlist (10 clusters, never a buy), so it carries no per-signal alpha to compare. Different sectors (Consumer Discretionary vs Technology). The backtest treats both identically, so any gap below is pure setup quality, not a sector preference built into the system.

Head-to-Head Stats

BKNG โœ… OPPORTUNITY Booking Holdings ยท Consumer Discretionary

+584%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY+45%
Win rate100% (2/2)
First flaggedApr 12, 2013
First entry price$29.18
Total signal days2

SEDG ๐Ÿ“Œ MONITOR SolarEdge Technologies ยท Technology

+19%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
TierMONITOR (watch-only, never bought)
Signal clusters10
First flaggedAug 21, 2017
First entry price$26.05
Total signal days26

Per-Signal Returns

Each bar below shows the best return from one signal cluster, held from the entry date through Feb 1, 2026. The SPY return over the same period is shown alongside each entry, alpha is the gap between the two.

BKNG Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Apr 12, 2013 $29.18 +584% +439% +145%
Feb 12, 2014 $48.95 +308% +363% -55%

SEDG Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Aug 21, 2017 $26.05 +19% +223% -204%
Sep 12, 2017 $26.40 +17% +214% -197%
Nov 8, 2017 $32.50 -5% +202% -206%
Apr 4, 2018 $54.60 -43% +194% -237%
May 22, 2018 $61.65 -50% +183% -233%
Jun 24, 2019 $60.54 -49% +157% -206%
Jul 11, 2019 $60.76 -49% +152% -202%
Aug 22, 2019 $80.90 -62% +165% -227%
Sep 19, 2019 $89.42 -65% +151% -216%
Nov 10, 2025 $45.38 -32% +2% -33%

What This Teaches

Signal frequency is not opinion; it's the pipeline firing or not firing against the same rules. Over the 2012โ€“2025 window, SEDG triggered entries 10ร— versus 2ร— for BKNG. The lesson here isn't that one company is better than the other; it's that the template is tuned for a specific kind of setup and this pair shows which stock's price behaviour kept offering that setup.

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FAQ

Did JumpstartSignal ever buy SEDG?

No. SEDG only ever cleared our weekly MONITOR tier, a watchlist of stocks matching some but not all of our buy criteria. MONITOR signals are published for research context, not executed as trades; only SPOTLIGHT and OPPORTUNITY signals enter the backtested portfolio. BKNG, by contrast, did reach SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY in our pipeline; that asymmetry is the core story of this page.

Is BKNG or SEDG a better momentum stock?

These two are not directly comparable as momentum buys. BKNG reached our buy tiers and averaged +45% alpha per buy signal across 2 clusters. SEDG only ever cleared the MONITOR watchlist (10 clusters, never promoted to a buy), so it has no buy-tier alpha. MONITOR signals are watch-only and not comparable to executed buy signals.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag BKNG?

Apr 12, 2013 at an entry price of $29.18 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned +584% held to the snapshot date, versus +439% for SPY over the same period.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag SEDG?

Aug 21, 2017 at an entry price of $26.05 (MONITOR watchlist tier only). That signal has returned +19% held to the snapshot date, versus +223% for SPY.

Does this mean one stock is a buy and the other isn't?

No. Historical signal frequency and past returns are not buy recommendations. Our pipeline identifies entries that would have matched the template historically. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use these pages as methodology research, not investment advice.

Where does the underlying data come from?

All entries on this page come from the R30 walk-forward validated backtest covering 2012-2025 (the 'seo_active' snapshot in our golden archive). Entry prices, returns, and SPY comparisons are computed from end-of-day OHLCV and frozen at snapshot time. See our methodology for details.