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๐Ÿค” COMPARE ยท CDNS ยท TYL

CDNS vs TYL: Backtested Momentum Signals Across 14 Years

How did Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) and Tyler Technologies (TYL) fare under JumpstartSignal's 5-stage screening pipeline across our full 2012โ€“2025 walk-forward backtest? We flagged CDNS 4 times (14 signal days, first signal in 2012) and TYL 8 times (11 signal days, first signal in 2012). Every entry price, return, and SPY comparison below is from the frozen backtest snapshot.

Verdict: CDNS wins this pair on both alpha and frequency, flagged across 4 clusters vs 8 for TYL, average alpha gap of +490% per signal, with the standout cluster (+2178% from Dec 11, 2012) still held to the exit. Both are Technology stocks, so the difference below isn't sector exposure, it's how each one's price action fits our momentum-trend template.

Head-to-Head Stats

CDNS ๐Ÿ† SPOTLIGHT Cadence Design Systems ยท Technology

+2178%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY+692%
Win rate100% (4/4)
First flaggedDec 11, 2012
First entry price$13.01
Total signal days14

TYL ๐Ÿ† SPOTLIGHT Tyler Technologies ยท Technology

+974%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY+202%
Win rate100% (8/8)
First flaggedJan 23, 2012
First entry price$34.38
Total signal days11

Per-Signal Returns

Each bar below shows the best return from one signal cluster, held from the entry date through Feb 1, 2026. The SPY return over the same period is shown alongside each entry, alpha is the gap between the two.

CDNS Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Dec 11, 2012 $13.01 +2178% +507% +1671%
May 23, 2017 $34.02 +771% +229% +542%
Jan 23, 2018 $44.86 +561% +174% +386%
Jun 25, 2019 $69.43 +327% +160% +167%

TYL Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Jan 23, 2012 $34.38 +974% +567% +407%
Apr 20, 2012 $40.26 +818% +534% +283%
Jun 22, 2012 $39.95 +825% +552% +273%
Aug 16, 2012 $40.11 +821% +513% +308%
Sep 4, 2012 $40.73 +807% +518% +289%
Apr 25, 2013 $62.63 +490% +440% +50%
Jun 3, 2013 $69.62 +431% +421% +10%
Jul 8, 2013 $72.02 +413% +419% -6%

What This Teaches

You can admire a stock and still never get a trade on it. TYL: 8 signal clusters across our backtest. CDNS: 4. The screener doesn't know which is the 'better' company; it just rewards whichever chart keeps producing the entries our weights favour. Publishing both the hits and the misses is how we keep the methodology honest.

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FAQ

Is CDNS or TYL a better momentum stock?

In our 14-year backtest, CDNS had an average alpha of +692% per signal versus +202% for TYL. CDNS produced 4 SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy-signal clusters vs 8 SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy-signal clusters for TYL.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag CDNS?

Dec 11, 2012 at an entry price of $13.01 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned +2178% held to the snapshot date, versus +507% for SPY over the same period.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag TYL?

Jan 23, 2012 at an entry price of $34.38 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned +974% held to the snapshot date, versus +567% for SPY.

Does this mean one stock is a buy and the other isn't?

No. Historical signal frequency and past returns are not buy recommendations. Our pipeline identifies entries that would have matched the template historically. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use these pages as methodology research, not investment advice.

Where does the underlying data come from?

All entries on this page come from the R27 walk-forward validated backtest covering 2012โ€“2025 (the 'seo_active' snapshot in our golden archive). Entry prices, returns, and SPY comparisons are computed from Stooq end-of-day OHLCV and frozen at snapshot time. See our methodology for details.