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๐Ÿ‘€ COMPARE ยท CMCSA ยท CPRT

CMCSA vs CPRT: Both Watchlist-Only Signals Compared

How did Comcast (CMCSA) and Copart (CPRT) fare under JumpstartSignal's 5-stage screening pipeline across our full 2012โ€“2025 walk-forward backtest? We flagged CMCSA 26 times (544 signal days, first signal in 2012) and CPRT 19 times (426 signal days, first signal in 2016). Every entry price, return, and SPY comparison below is from the frozen backtest snapshot.

๐Ÿ“Œ Note: Both CMCSA and CPRT only ever reached our MONITOR watchlist tier, neither was promoted to a SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal. MONITOR clusters are published here for research context, not as executed trades.

Verdict: CPRT outperformed on our pipeline by an average alpha of +300% per signal, flagged across 19 clusters vs 26 for CMCSA. Best CPRT entry: +697% from Mar 31, 2016. These are in Communication Services and Industrials respectively, our screener doesn't favour either, so the asymmetry is all price-action signal quality.

Head-to-Head Stats

CMCSA ๐Ÿ“Œ MONITOR Comcast ยท Communication Services

+185%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY-232%
Win rate62% (16/26)
First flaggedApr 26, 2012
First entry price$10.52
Total signal days544

CPRT ๐Ÿ“Œ MONITOR Copart ยท Industrials

+697%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY+69%
Win rate89% (17/19)
First flaggedMar 31, 2016
First entry price$5.09
Total signal days426

Per-Signal Returns

Each bar below shows the best return from one signal cluster, held from the entry date through Feb 1, 2026. The SPY return over the same period is shown alongside each entry, alpha is the gap between the two.

CMCSA Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Apr 26, 2012 $10.52 +183% +524% -341%
Jun 12, 2012 $10.43 +185% +562% -377%
Mar 25, 2013 $14.72 +102% +452% -350%
May 1, 2013 $14.84 +100% +440% -340%
Jul 15, 2013 $15.46 +92% +405% -312%
Sep 17, 2013 $15.56 +91% +400% -308%
Feb 12, 2014 $19.28 +54% +358% -303%
May 7, 2014 $18.43 +61% +347% -285%
Aug 19, 2014 $19.74 +51% +321% -270%
Sep 3, 2014 $19.87 +50% +316% -266%
Dec 1, 2014 $20.33 +46% +307% -260%
May 4, 2015 $21.56 +38% +289% -251%
Jun 4, 2015 $21.53 +38% +292% -254%
Mar 18, 2016 $22.01 +35% +296% -261%
Jun 22, 2016 $23.38 +27% +285% -258%
Nov 28, 2016 $25.70 +16% +262% -246%
May 7, 2019 $33.60 -12% +164% -176%
Jun 14, 2019 $33.41 -11% +163% -174%
Oct 25, 2019 $36.15 -18% +148% -166%
Nov 14, 2019 $36.23 -18% +143% -161%
Jan 10, 2020 $36.03 -17% +130% -147%
Feb 7, 2020 $35.77 -17% +124% -140%
Apr 29, 2021 $46.19 -36% +76% -111%
Jun 1, 2021 $46.39 -36% +75% -111%
Aug 4, 2023 $39.06 -24% +58% -82%
Jan 19, 2024 $38.26 -22% +46% -68%

CPRT Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Mar 31, 2016 $5.09 +697% +290% +407%
May 3, 2016 $5.31 +664% +291% +374%
Jun 10, 2016 $6.01 +575% +288% +288%
Sep 20, 2016 $6.43 +531% +274% +258%
Nov 9, 2016 $6.66 +509% +267% +242%
Apr 20, 2017 $7.56 +437% +235% +202%
May 25, 2018 $13.56 +199% +184% +15%
Sep 14, 2018 $16.04 +153% +165% -12%
Mar 25, 2019 $14.88 +173% +172% +0%
Apr 25, 2019 $16.44 +147% +160% -13%
Feb 11, 2020 $25.58 +59% +123% -65%
Sep 28, 2020 $26.29 +54% +120% -66%
Apr 19, 2021 $30.32 +34% +78% -44%
May 21, 2021 $31.21 +30% +73% -43%
Aug 6, 2021 $36.50 +11% +65% -54%
Aug 25, 2021 $35.74 +14% +64% -50%
Dec 7, 2021 $37.30 +9% +55% -46%
Oct 15, 2024 $53.69 -24% +20% -44%
Nov 6, 2024 $55.44 -27% +18% -45%

What This Teaches

Signal frequency is not opinion; it's the pipeline firing or not firing against the same rules. Over the 2012โ€“2025 window, CMCSA triggered entries 26ร— versus 19ร— for CPRT. The lesson here isn't that one company is better than the other; it's that the template is tuned for a specific kind of setup and this pair shows which stock's price behaviour kept offering that setup.

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FAQ

Did JumpstartSignal ever buy CMCSA, CPRT?

No. CMCSA, CPRT only ever cleared our weekly MONITOR tier, a watchlist of stocks matching some but not all of our buy criteria. MONITOR signals are published for research context, not executed as trades; only SPOTLIGHT and OPPORTUNITY signals enter the backtested portfolio.

Is CMCSA or CPRT a better momentum stock?

In our 14-year backtest, CMCSA had an average alpha of -232% per signal versus +69% for CPRT. CMCSA produced 26 MONITOR watchlist clusters vs 19 MONITOR watchlist clusters for CPRT.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag CMCSA?

Apr 26, 2012 at an entry price of $10.52 (MONITOR watchlist tier only). That signal has returned +183% held to the snapshot date, versus +524% for SPY over the same period.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag CPRT?

Mar 31, 2016 at an entry price of $5.09 (MONITOR watchlist tier only). That signal has returned +697% held to the snapshot date, versus +290% for SPY.

Does this mean one stock is a buy and the other isn't?

No. Historical signal frequency and past returns are not buy recommendations. Our pipeline identifies entries that would have matched the template historically. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use these pages as methodology research, not investment advice.

Where does the underlying data come from?

All entries on this page come from the R30 walk-forward validated backtest covering 2012โ€“2025 (the 'seo_active' snapshot in our golden archive). Entry prices, returns, and SPY comparisons are computed from Stooq end-of-day OHLCV and frozen at snapshot time. See our methodology for details.