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๐Ÿง  COMPARE ยท CMCSA ยท MTCH

CMCSA vs MTCH: Both Watchlist-Only Signals Compared

How did Comcast (CMCSA) and Match Group (MTCH) fare under JumpstartSignal's 5-stage screening pipeline across our full 2012โ€“2025 walk-forward backtest? We flagged CMCSA 26 times (544 signal days, first signal in 2012) and MTCH 5 times (213 signal days, first signal in 2017). Every entry price, return, and SPY comparison below is from the frozen backtest snapshot.

๐Ÿ“Œ Note: Both CMCSA and MTCH only ever reached our MONITOR watchlist tier, neither was promoted to a SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal. MONITOR clusters are published here for research context, not as executed trades.

Verdict: MTCH outperformed on our pipeline by an average alpha of +30% per signal, flagged across 5 clusters vs 26 for CMCSA. Best MTCH entry: +43% from Sep 13, 2017. These are in Communication Services and Technology respectively, our screener doesn't favour either, so the asymmetry is all price-action signal quality.

Head-to-Head Stats

CMCSA ๐Ÿ“Œ MONITOR Comcast ยท Communication Services

+185%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY-232%
Win rate62% (16/26)
First flaggedApr 26, 2012
First entry price$10.52
Total signal days544

MTCH ๐Ÿ“Œ MONITOR Match Group ยท Technology

+43%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY-201%
Win rate20% (1/5)
First flaggedSep 13, 2017
First entry price$21.76
Total signal days213

Per-Signal Returns

Each bar below shows the best return from one signal cluster, held from the entry date through Feb 1, 2026. The SPY return over the same period is shown alongside each entry, alpha is the gap between the two.

CMCSA Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Apr 26, 2012 $10.52 +183% +524% -341%
Jun 12, 2012 $10.43 +185% +562% -377%
Mar 25, 2013 $14.72 +102% +452% -350%
May 1, 2013 $14.84 +100% +440% -340%
Jul 15, 2013 $15.46 +92% +405% -312%
Sep 17, 2013 $15.56 +91% +400% -308%
Feb 12, 2014 $19.28 +54% +358% -303%
May 7, 2014 $18.43 +61% +347% -285%
Aug 19, 2014 $19.74 +51% +321% -270%
Sep 3, 2014 $19.87 +50% +316% -266%
Dec 1, 2014 $20.33 +46% +307% -260%
May 4, 2015 $21.56 +38% +289% -251%
Jun 4, 2015 $21.53 +38% +292% -254%
Mar 18, 2016 $22.01 +35% +296% -261%
Jun 22, 2016 $23.38 +27% +285% -258%
Nov 28, 2016 $25.70 +16% +262% -246%
May 7, 2019 $33.60 -12% +164% -176%
Jun 14, 2019 $33.41 -11% +163% -174%
Oct 25, 2019 $36.15 -18% +148% -166%
Nov 14, 2019 $36.23 -18% +143% -161%
Jan 10, 2020 $36.03 -17% +130% -147%
Feb 7, 2020 $35.77 -17% +124% -140%
Apr 29, 2021 $46.19 -36% +76% -111%
Jun 1, 2021 $46.39 -36% +75% -111%
Aug 4, 2023 $39.06 -24% +58% -82%
Jan 19, 2024 $38.26 -22% +46% -68%

MTCH Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Sep 13, 2017 $21.76 +43% +214% -171%
Mar 22, 2018 $42.07 -26% +194% -220%
Jun 14, 2018 $40.90 -24% +178% -202%
Aug 14, 2018 $44.25 -30% +171% -201%
Mar 1, 2019 $55.00 -43% +170% -213%

What This Teaches

Stock screening is about frequency, not preference. CMCSA was flagged 26ร— and MTCH was flagged 5ร— because CMCSA's weekly closes repeatedly matched the confluence we score for. That's why we publish the full record: the absence of a signal on a great company is as instructive as a signal on a mediocre one.

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FAQ

Did JumpstartSignal ever buy CMCSA, MTCH?

No. CMCSA, MTCH only ever cleared our weekly MONITOR tier, a watchlist of stocks matching some but not all of our buy criteria. MONITOR signals are published for research context, not executed as trades; only SPOTLIGHT and OPPORTUNITY signals enter the backtested portfolio.

Is CMCSA or MTCH a better momentum stock?

In our 14-year backtest, CMCSA had an average alpha of -232% per signal versus -201% for MTCH. CMCSA produced 26 MONITOR watchlist clusters vs 5 MONITOR watchlist clusters for MTCH.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag CMCSA?

Apr 26, 2012 at an entry price of $10.52 (MONITOR watchlist tier only). That signal has returned +183% held to the snapshot date, versus +524% for SPY over the same period.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag MTCH?

Sep 13, 2017 at an entry price of $21.76 (MONITOR watchlist tier only). That signal has returned +43% held to the snapshot date, versus +214% for SPY.

Does this mean one stock is a buy and the other isn't?

No. Historical signal frequency and past returns are not buy recommendations. Our pipeline identifies entries that would have matched the template historically. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use these pages as methodology research, not investment advice.

Where does the underlying data come from?

All entries on this page come from the R30 walk-forward validated backtest covering 2012โ€“2025 (the 'seo_active' snapshot in our golden archive). Entry prices, returns, and SPY comparisons are computed from Stooq end-of-day OHLCV and frozen at snapshot time. See our methodology for details.