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๐Ÿง  COMPARE ยท CPRT ยท CSCO

CSCO Beat CPRT by +66% Average Alpha in Our 14-Year Backtest

How did CPRT (CPRT) and Cisco Systems (CSCO) fare under JumpstartSignal's 5-stage screening pipeline across our full 2012โ€“2025 walk-forward backtest? We flagged CPRT 4 times (12 signal days, first signal in 2019) and CSCO 1 time (5 signal days, first signal in 2025). Every entry price, return, and SPY comparison below is from the frozen backtest snapshot.

Verdict: CSCO outperformed on our pipeline by an average alpha of +66% per signal, flagged across 1 cluster vs 4 for CPRT. Best CSCO entry: +14% from Oct 14, 2025. These are in Unknown and Technology respectively, our screener doesn't favour either, so the asymmetry is all price-action signal quality.

Head-to-Head Stats

CPRT โœ… OPPORTUNITY CPRT ยท

+101%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY-56%
Win rate100% (4/4)
First flaggedSep 5, 2019
First entry price$20.15
Total signal days12

CSCO ๐Ÿ† SPOTLIGHT Cisco Systems ยท Technology

+14%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY+10%
Win rate100% (1/1)
First flaggedOct 14, 2025
First entry price$68.66
Total signal days5

Per-Signal Returns

Each bar below shows the best return from one signal cluster, held from the entry date through Feb 1, 2026. The SPY return over the same period is shown alongside each entry, alpha is the gap between the two.

CPRT Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Sep 5, 2019 $20.15 +101% +154% -52%
Dec 18, 2020 $30.59 +33% +99% -66%
Oct 26, 2021 $38.20 +6% +59% -53%
Nov 16, 2021 $39.77 +2% +55% -53%

CSCO Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Oct 14, 2025 $68.66 +14% +4% +10%

What This Teaches

Signal frequency is not opinion; it's the pipeline firing or not firing against the same rules. Over the 2012โ€“2025 window, CPRT triggered entries 4ร— versus 1ร— for CSCO. The lesson here isn't that one company is better than the other; it's that the template is tuned for a specific kind of setup and this pair shows which stock's price behaviour kept offering that setup.

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FAQ

Is CPRT or CSCO a better momentum stock?

In our 14-year backtest, CPRT had an average alpha of -56% per signal versus +10% for CSCO. CPRT produced 4 SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy-signal clusters vs 1 SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy-signal cluster for CSCO.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag CPRT?

Sep 5, 2019 at an entry price of $20.15 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned +101% held to the snapshot date, versus +154% for SPY over the same period.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag CSCO?

Oct 14, 2025 at an entry price of $68.66 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned +14% held to the snapshot date, versus +4% for SPY.

Does this mean one stock is a buy and the other isn't?

No. Historical signal frequency and past returns are not buy recommendations. Our pipeline identifies entries that would have matched the template historically. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use these pages as methodology research, not investment advice.

Where does the underlying data come from?

All entries on this page come from the R27 walk-forward validated backtest covering 2012โ€“2025 (the 'seo_active' snapshot in our golden archive). Entry prices, returns, and SPY comparisons are computed from Stooq end-of-day OHLCV and frozen at snapshot time. See our methodology for details.