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๐Ÿ‘€ COMPARE ยท CPRT ยท TTWO

CPRT vs TTWO: Both Watchlist-Only Signals Compared

How did Copart (CPRT) and Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) fare under JumpstartSignal's 5-stage screening pipeline across our full 2012โ€“2025 walk-forward backtest? We flagged CPRT 19 times (426 signal days, first signal in 2016) and TTWO 13 times (133 signal days, first signal in 2013). Every entry price, return, and SPY comparison below is from the frozen backtest snapshot.

๐Ÿ“Œ Note: Both CPRT and TTWO only ever reached our MONITOR watchlist tier, neither was promoted to a SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal. MONITOR clusters are published here for research context, not as executed trades.

Verdict: Head-to-head, TTWO beat CPRT by 223 percentage points of alpha per signal on average, flagged across 13 clusters vs 19 for CPRT. TTWO's best cluster so far: +1197% measured from Jul 30, 2013 to the snapshot date. Cross-sector pair (Industrials vs Technology). Our template is sector-agnostic; whichever side posted more clean entries wins on frequency alone.

Head-to-Head Stats

CPRT ๐Ÿ“Œ MONITOR Copart ยท Industrials

+697%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY+69%
Win rate89% (17/19)
First flaggedMar 31, 2016
First entry price$5.09
Total signal days426

TTWO ๐Ÿ“Œ MONITOR Take-Two Interactive ยท Technology

+1197%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY+292%
Win rate100% (13/13)
First flaggedJul 30, 2013
First entry price$16.99
Total signal days133

Per-Signal Returns

Each bar below shows the best return from one signal cluster, held from the entry date through Feb 1, 2026. The SPY return over the same period is shown alongside each entry, alpha is the gap between the two.

CPRT Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Mar 31, 2016 $5.09 +697% +290% +407%
May 3, 2016 $5.31 +664% +291% +374%
Jun 10, 2016 $6.01 +575% +288% +288%
Sep 20, 2016 $6.43 +531% +274% +258%
Nov 9, 2016 $6.66 +509% +267% +242%
Apr 20, 2017 $7.56 +437% +235% +202%
May 25, 2018 $13.56 +199% +184% +15%
Sep 14, 2018 $16.04 +153% +165% -12%
Mar 25, 2019 $14.88 +173% +172% +0%
Apr 25, 2019 $16.44 +147% +160% -13%
Feb 11, 2020 $25.58 +59% +123% -65%
Sep 28, 2020 $26.29 +54% +120% -66%
Apr 19, 2021 $30.32 +34% +78% -44%
May 21, 2021 $31.21 +30% +73% -43%
Aug 6, 2021 $36.50 +11% +65% -54%
Aug 25, 2021 $35.74 +14% +64% -50%
Dec 7, 2021 $37.30 +9% +55% -46%
Oct 15, 2024 $53.69 -24% +20% -44%
Nov 6, 2024 $55.44 -27% +18% -45%

TTWO Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Jul 30, 2013 $16.99 +1197% +405% +792%
Feb 6, 2014 $18.24 +1108% +374% +733%
Apr 22, 2014 $20.84 +957% +346% +611%
Sep 19, 2014 $23.71 +829% +314% +515%
Nov 5, 2014 $25.75 +756% +307% +449%
Nov 6, 2015 $32.92 +569% +290% +279%
May 27, 2016 $38.50 +472% +283% +189%
Jul 6, 2016 $38.60 +471% +282% +189%
Nov 4, 2016 $46.94 +369% +267% +102%
Apr 19, 2017 $60.45 +264% +238% +26%
Jun 9, 2017 $74.38 +196% +223% -27%
Jul 10, 2017 $74.48 +196% +224% -28%
Aug 2, 2017 $79.39 +178% +217% -40%

What This Teaches

Signal frequency is not opinion; it's the pipeline firing or not firing against the same rules. Over the 2012โ€“2025 window, CPRT triggered entries 19ร— versus 13ร— for TTWO. The lesson here isn't that one company is better than the other; it's that the template is tuned for a specific kind of setup and this pair shows which stock's price behaviour kept offering that setup.

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FAQ

Did JumpstartSignal ever buy CPRT, TTWO?

No. CPRT, TTWO only ever cleared our weekly MONITOR tier, a watchlist of stocks matching some but not all of our buy criteria. MONITOR signals are published for research context, not executed as trades; only SPOTLIGHT and OPPORTUNITY signals enter the backtested portfolio.

Is CPRT or TTWO a better momentum stock?

In our 14-year backtest, CPRT had an average alpha of +69% per signal versus +292% for TTWO. CPRT produced 19 MONITOR watchlist clusters vs 13 MONITOR watchlist clusters for TTWO.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag CPRT?

Mar 31, 2016 at an entry price of $5.09 (MONITOR watchlist tier only). That signal has returned +697% held to the snapshot date, versus +290% for SPY over the same period.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag TTWO?

Jul 30, 2013 at an entry price of $16.99 (MONITOR watchlist tier only). That signal has returned +1197% held to the snapshot date, versus +405% for SPY.

Does this mean one stock is a buy and the other isn't?

No. Historical signal frequency and past returns are not buy recommendations. Our pipeline identifies entries that would have matched the template historically. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use these pages as methodology research, not investment advice.

Where does the underlying data come from?

All entries on this page come from the R30 walk-forward validated backtest covering 2012โ€“2025 (the 'seo_active' snapshot in our golden archive). Entry prices, returns, and SPY comparisons are computed from Stooq end-of-day OHLCV and frozen at snapshot time. See our methodology for details.