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๐Ÿ‘€ COMPARE ยท CSCO ยท WDC

CSCO vs WDC: 1 Buy Signals vs 5 (2012โ€“2025)

How did Cisco Systems (CSCO) and Western Digital (WDC) fare under JumpstartSignal's 5-stage screening pipeline across our full 2012โ€“2025 walk-forward backtest? We flagged CSCO 1 time (5 signal days, first signal in 2025) and WDC 5 times (6 signal days, first signal in 2013). Every entry price, return, and SPY comparison below is from the frozen backtest snapshot.

Verdict: WDC wins this pair on both alpha and frequency, flagged across 5 clusters vs 1 for CSCO, average alpha gap of +29% per signal, with the standout cluster (+480% from Oct 16, 2013) still held to the exit. Same sector (Technology), different trajectories, our pipeline isolates the one whose weekly closes kept forming the confluence we score for.

Head-to-Head Stats

CSCO ๐Ÿ† SPOTLIGHT Cisco Systems ยท Technology

+14%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY+10%
Win rate100% (1/1)
First flaggedOct 14, 2025
First entry price$68.66
Total signal days5

WDC ๐Ÿ† SPOTLIGHT Western Digital ยท Technology

+480%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY+39%
Win rate100% (5/5)
First flaggedOct 16, 2013
First entry price$43.16
Total signal days6

Per-Signal Returns

Each bar below shows the best return from one signal cluster, held from the entry date through Feb 1, 2026. The SPY return over the same period is shown alongside each entry, alpha is the gap between the two.

CSCO Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Oct 14, 2025 $68.66 +14% +4% +10%

WDC Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Oct 16, 2013 $43.16 +480% +392% +88%
Nov 14, 2013 $47.23 +430% +372% +57%
Dec 4, 2013 $48.30 +418% +371% +47%
Mar 21, 2014 $55.38 +352% +350% +1%
Jun 18, 2014 $58.31 +329% +327% +2%

What This Teaches

Which stock a quant system picks more often says more about price-action shape than about the business. WDC kept printing clean golden-cross + breakout-volume setups (5 distinct clusters over 14 years); CSCO printed them 1ร— in the same window. Same universe, same rules, different output, and that is exactly what a rules-based pipeline is supposed to produce.

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FAQ

Is CSCO or WDC a better momentum stock?

In our 14-year backtest, CSCO had an average alpha of +10% per signal versus +39% for WDC. CSCO produced 1 SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy-signal cluster vs 5 SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy-signal clusters for WDC.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag CSCO?

Oct 14, 2025 at an entry price of $68.66 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned +14% held to the snapshot date, versus +4% for SPY over the same period.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag WDC?

Oct 16, 2013 at an entry price of $43.16 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned +480% held to the snapshot date, versus +392% for SPY.

Does this mean one stock is a buy and the other isn't?

No. Historical signal frequency and past returns are not buy recommendations. Our pipeline identifies entries that would have matched the template historically. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use these pages as methodology research, not investment advice.

Where does the underlying data come from?

All entries on this page come from the R27 walk-forward validated backtest covering 2012โ€“2025 (the 'seo_active' snapshot in our golden archive). Entry prices, returns, and SPY comparisons are computed from Stooq end-of-day OHLCV and frozen at snapshot time. See our methodology for details.