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πŸ“‘ Signal Research

Each signal below is validated across 14 years of historical data using walk-forward analysis, mutual information, and elastic net regression before earning any scoring weight. Click a card to see the full backtest deep-dive.

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Entry signals β€” timing

Golden Cross entry

The golden cross fires when a stock's 50-day simple moving average crosses above its 200-day SMA β€” a classic long-term trend confirmation used by institutional traders and swing investors alike.

29% consistent at 7yr β€Ί
RSI (Relative Strength Index) entry

RSI(14) measures the speed and magnitude of recent price changes on a 0–100 scale. In JumpStartSignal it works as a hard gate: any stock with RSI above 70 is excluded at Stage 2 before scoring begins, keeping every scored candidate at a technically approachable β€” not extended β€” entry point.

4% consistent at 3yr β€Ί
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) entry

MACD (12,26,9) measures momentum by comparing a fast 12-day EMA to a slower 26-day EMA. When the MACD line crosses above its 9-day signal line, short-term buying momentum is accelerating β€” one of the most widely-used entry timing triggers in technical analysis.

12% consistent at 7yr β€Ί
VWAP+MACD Confluence entry

The VWAP+MACD Confluence fires when two conditions align: the stock's price is above its 20-day rolling VWAP (buying pressure confirmed) and the MACD line has just crossed above its signal line (short-term momentum turning up). Requiring both filters together makes this a higher-conviction entry trigger than either signal alone.

56% consistent at 5yr β€Ί
Breakout Volume entry

Breakout Volume fires when a meaningful price move is accompanied by unusually high trading volume β€” evidence that the move reflects broad participation rather than a thin-market drift.

46% consistent at 1yr β€Ί
Death Cross entry

The death cross fires when a stock's 20-day simple moving average crosses below its 50-day SMA β€” the inverse of the golden cross. Conventional wisdom calls it a bearish signal. Our data tells a different story.

8% consistent at 1yr β€Ί

Quality signals β€” fundamentals & trend

MA Stack (Moving Average Stack) quality

The MA Stack fires when a stock's price is above its 50-day SMA, which is above the 150-day SMA, which is above the 200-day SMA β€” all four levels aligned in ascending order. It confirms the stock is trending upward across every major timeframe simultaneously.

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Near 52-Week High quality

The Near 52-Week High signal fires when a stock's current price is within 25% of its highest closing price over the past 52 weeks. It identifies stocks in confirmed long-term leadership positions β€” near their annual peak rather than deep in a prolonged decline.

17% consistent at 1yr β€Ί
VWAP Bullish quality

VWAP Bullish fires when a stock's price is above its 20-day volume-weighted average price β€” showing that recent buyers are in profit and buying pressure has dominated recent sessions. JumpStartSignal uses a 20-day rolling VWAP for swing and position trading, not the intraday VWAP used in day trading.

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