Home  |  How It Works  |  Results  |  All Reports  |  Latest
CASE STUDY ยท AMD ยท Technology

AMD Case Study: Caught 3 times across three clusters from 2020 to 2021

JumpstartSignal flagged Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) on 3 individual trading days across 3 signal clusters between 2020 and 2021.

Jul 22, 2020 First flagged
$61.79
+283% Best return
(vs +127% SPY)
3 Signal days
3 clusters
72 Avg score
out of 100
Signal Breakdown
๐Ÿ† 0 SPOTLIGHT โœ… 3 OPPORTUNITY ๐Ÿ“Œ 176 MONITOR
Win Rate
100% (3/3 positive)
Price Buckets
๐Ÿš€ Growth ($5โ€“$20) ยท โš–๏ธ Momentum ($20โ€“$100)

About Advanced Micro Devices

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is an American multinational semiconductor company that designs central processing units (CPUs), graphics processing units (GPUs), field-programmable gate arrays (FPGAs), system-on-chips (SoCs), and related components for markets including personal computers, gaming, data centers, embedded systems, and AI.

The Story

AMD would have first appeared in JumpstartSignal's pipeline in July 2020, trading at $61.79. The semiconductor turnaround under Lisa Su was well underway, and the system identified the early stages: strong revenue growth, improving balance sheet, and a bullish SMA crossover entry signal aligning simultaneously. In backtesting, AMD triggered 3 signals across three separate clusters. The first, on July 22, 2020, at $61.79, is the highest-returning entry in the AMD history at +283.1% vs +126.7% for SPY. A second signal followed on November 30, 2020 at $92.66 (+155.5% vs +103.9% SPY), and a third on February 11, 2021 at $92.66 (+155.5% vs +88.1% SPY). Each signal was a discrete one-day detection, not a multi-day cluster.

Signal Log: All 3 Days

Every day AMD passed our 5-stage pipeline, with the signal level and score breakdown. How scoring works โ†’

Cluster 1 ยท Jul '20 ยท 1 signal ยท best return +283%
โœ… OPP 73/100 (Q:52 E:11 S:0 B:10) +283%
๐Ÿ† SPOTLIGHT โœ… OPPORTUNITY ๐Ÿ“Œ MONITOR ๐Ÿ“ˆ Deep dive on TradingView โ†’
Cluster 2 ยท Nov '20 ยท 1 signal ยท best return +156%
โœ… OPP 73/100 (Q:52 E:11 S:0 B:10) +156%
๐Ÿ† SPOTLIGHT โœ… OPPORTUNITY ๐Ÿ“Œ MONITOR ๐Ÿ“ˆ Deep dive on TradingView โ†’
Cluster 3 ยท Feb '21 ยท 1 signal ยท best return +156%
โœ… OPP 71/100 (Q:52 E:9 S:0 B:10) +156%
๐Ÿ† SPOTLIGHT โœ… OPPORTUNITY ๐Ÿ“Œ MONITOR ๐Ÿ“ˆ Deep dive on TradingView โ†’

Returns measured from entry price to 2026-02-01. Split-adjusted OHLCV. Score breakdown: Q=quality (0โ€“60), E=entry (0โ€“20), S=sentiment (0โ€“10), B=sector bonus (0โ€“10). Sentiment scores show as 0 because backtests use historical data, AI news sentiment analysis is only available in our live daily screening. In live mode, positive news coverage typically adds 5โ€“10 points. Past performance does not indicate future results.

What If You Invested $10,000 at the First Signal?

$10,000 in AMD on Jul 22, 2020 $38,310
$10,000 in SPY on the same day $22,670

Hypothetical buy-and-hold from first signal date to 2026-02-01. Not investment advice.

What This Teaches

AMD shows how the system produces clean, discrete signals at technical inflection points across a multi-year trend. The July 2020 entry was the best, catching AMD at $61.79 before a +283% move. The two later signals, in November 2020 and February 2021, still returned +155% vs +104% and +88% for SPY respectively, confirming the trend was still intact. For investors, each one-day cluster reflects the discrete nature of the SMA crossover entry signal. It fires once at a technical inflection, not continuously, which is exactly why it works as a timing tool rather than a trend-follower.

See how the full 5-stage pipeline and scoring system works โ†’

Explore More

Free โ€” Always

Get signals like these delivered daily

When stocks pass all 5 stages of our screening system, the signal lands in your inbox each trading day.

Your subscription could not be saved. Please try again.
Your subscription has been successful.

No spam. Unsubscribe in one click.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many individual signal days did AMD have?
AMD was flagged on 179 total signal days. Of those, 0 reached SPOTLIGHT and 3 reached OPPORTUNITY, grouped into 3 clusters (consecutive daily signals within 14 days are grouped). An additional 176 days scored at MONITOR level, shown in the signal breakdown but not in the charts above.
What score did AMD typically achieve?
Across the 3 SPOTLIGHT/OPPORTUNITY signal days, AMD averaged a combined score of 72/100. The scoring combines fundamental quality (0โ€“60), entry timing (0โ€“20), AI news sentiment (0โ€“10), and sector bonus (0โ€“10). Note: sentiment scores are zero in backtests โ€” AI news analysis is only available in live daily screening. OPPORTUNITY requires combined โ‰ฅ71. AMD never cleared the additional quality and entry gates needed for SPOTLIGHT (combined โ‰ฅ75, quality โ‰ฅ51, entry โ‰ฅ13).
What if I invested $10,000 in AMD at the first signal?
A $10,000 investment in AMD on Jul 22, 2020 at $61.79 would be worth $38,310 as of 2026-02-01 โ€” a return of +283%. The same amount in SPY would be $22,670 (+127%).
Does JumpstartSignal recommend buying AMD now?
No. JumpstartSignal is a screening tool, not investment advice. Whether AMD currently passes our 5-stage filter depends on real-time market conditions. Sign up for the free daily email to see current SPOTLIGHT and OPPORTUNITY signals.