ADBE vs TTD: ADBE's +256% Best Signal Compared
How did Adobe (ADBE) and The Trade Desk (TTD) fare under JumpstartSignal's 5-stage screening pipeline across our full 2012–2025 walk-forward backtest? We flagged ADBE 2 times (5 signal days, first signal in 2015) and TTD 2 times (3 signal days, first signal in 2019). Every entry price, return, and SPY comparison below is from the frozen backtest snapshot.
Head-to-Head Stats
ADBE ✅ OPPORTUNITY Adobe · Technology
TTD ✅ OPPORTUNITY The Trade Desk · Technology
Per-Signal Returns
Each bar below shows the best return from one signal cluster, held from the entry date through Feb 1, 2026. The SPY return over the same period is shown alongside each entry, alpha is the gap between the two.
ADBE Signal Clusters
| Entry Date | Entry Price | Return | SPY Return | Alpha vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2015 | $82.26 | +256% | +305% | -48% |
| Dec 15, 2015 | $94.02 | +212% | +297% | -85% |
TTD Signal Clusters
| Entry Date | Entry Price | Return | SPY Return | Alpha vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2019 | $14.27 | +112% | +183% | -70% |
| Nov 10, 2020 | $70.73 | -57% | +108% | -166% |
What This Teaches
Stock screening is about frequency, not preference. ADBE was flagged 2× and TTD was flagged 2× because ADBE's weekly closes repeatedly matched the confluence we score for. That's why we publish the full record: the absence of a signal on a great company is as instructive as a signal on a mediocre one.
Compare More
Get signals like these delivered daily
Free daily signals from the same 5-stage pipeline that flagged these entries.
No spam. Unsubscribe in one click.
FAQ
Is ADBE or TTD a better momentum stock?
In our 14-year backtest, ADBE had an average alpha of -67% per signal versus -118% for TTD. ADBE produced 2 buy clusters vs 2 for TTD.
When did JumpstartSignal first flag ADBE?
Oct 2, 2015 at an entry price of $82.26 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned +256% held to the snapshot date, versus +305% for SPY over the same period.
When did JumpstartSignal first flag TTD?
Jan 31, 2019 at an entry price of $14.27 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned +112% held to the snapshot date, versus +183% for SPY.
Does this mean one stock is a buy and the other isn't?
No. Historical signal frequency and past returns are not buy recommendations. Our pipeline identifies entries that would have matched the template historically. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use these pages as methodology research, not investment advice.
Where does the underlying data come from?
All entries on this page come from the R30 walk-forward validated backtest covering 2012-2025 (the 'seo_active' snapshot in our golden archive). Entry prices, returns, and SPY comparisons are computed from end-of-day OHLCV and frozen at snapshot time. See our methodology for details.