ANET vs MTCH: 18 Signal Clusters, Full Record
How did Arista Networks (ANET) and MTCH (MTCH) fare under JumpstartSignal's 5-stage screening pipeline across our full 2012–2025 walk-forward backtest? We flagged ANET 15 times (33 signal days, first signal in 2016) and MTCH 3 times (7 signal days, first signal in 2018). Every entry price, return, and SPY comparison below is from the frozen backtest snapshot.
Head-to-Head Stats
ANET 🏆 SPOTLIGHT Arista Networks · Technology
MTCH ✅ OPPORTUNITY MTCH ·
Per-Signal Returns
Each bar below shows the best return from one signal cluster, held from the entry date through Feb 1, 2026. The SPY return over the same period is shown alongside each entry, alpha is the gap between the two.
ANET Signal Clusters
| Entry Date | Entry Price | Return | SPY Return | Alpha vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2016 | $5.37 | +2540% | +267% | +2272% |
| Aug 4, 2017 | $10.75 | +1218% | +217% | +1001% |
| Oct 31, 2017 | $12.49 | +1035% | +204% | +831% |
| Jan 8, 2018 | $15.69 | +803% | +184% | +620% |
| Feb 14, 2018 | $18.88 | +651% | +188% | +462% |
| May 11, 2021 | $20.42 | +594% | +77% | +517% |
| Oct 19, 2021 | $24.13 | +487% | +60% | +428% |
| Dec 17, 2021 | $33.76 | +320% | +58% | +262% |
| Mar 25, 2022 | $34.55 | +310% | +58% | +253% |
| Jun 13, 2023 | $40.87 | +247% | +61% | +186% |
| Aug 31, 2023 | $48.81 | +190% | +57% | +133% |
| Nov 1, 2023 | $52.71 | +169% | +67% | +102% |
| Feb 9, 2024 | $70.61 | +101% | +40% | +60% |
| May 20, 2024 | $75.36 | +88% | +33% | +55% |
| Aug 30, 2024 | $88.34 | +60% | +24% | +36% |
MTCH Signal Clusters
| Entry Date | Entry Price | Return | SPY Return | Alpha vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2018 | $44.25 | -30% | +171% | -201% |
| Mar 20, 2019 | $58.13 | -46% | +170% | -216% |
| Apr 15, 2019 | $60.18 | -48% | +162% | -210% |
What This Teaches
Stock screening is about frequency, not preference. ANET was flagged 15× and MTCH was flagged 3× because ANET's weekly closes repeatedly matched the confluence we score for. That's why we publish the full record: the absence of a signal on a great company is as instructive as a signal on a mediocre one.
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FAQ
Is ANET or MTCH a better momentum stock?
In our 14-year backtest, ANET had an average alpha of +481% per signal versus -209% for MTCH. ANET produced 15 SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy-signal clusters vs 3 SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy-signal clusters for MTCH.
When did JumpstartSignal first flag ANET?
Nov 10, 2016 at an entry price of $5.37 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned +2540% held to the snapshot date, versus +267% for SPY over the same period.
When did JumpstartSignal first flag MTCH?
Aug 15, 2018 at an entry price of $44.25 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned -30% held to the snapshot date, versus +171% for SPY.
Does this mean one stock is a buy and the other isn't?
No. Historical signal frequency and past returns are not buy recommendations. Our pipeline identifies entries that would have matched the template historically. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use these pages as methodology research, not investment advice.
Where does the underlying data come from?
All entries on this page come from the R27 walk-forward validated backtest covering 2012–2025 (the 'seo_active' snapshot in our golden archive). Entry prices, returns, and SPY comparisons are computed from Stooq end-of-day OHLCV and frozen at snapshot time. See our methodology for details.