CDNS or SEDG? 14 Years of Momentum Signals Compared
How did Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) and SEDG (SEDG) fare under JumpstartSignal's 5-stage screening pipeline across our full 2012โ2025 walk-forward backtest? We flagged CDNS 4 times (14 signal days, first signal in 2012) and SEDG 3 times (7 signal days, first signal in 2019). Every entry price, return, and SPY comparison below is from the frozen backtest snapshot.
Head-to-Head Stats
CDNS ๐ SPOTLIGHT Cadence Design Systems ยท Technology
SEDG โ OPPORTUNITY SEDG ยท
Per-Signal Returns
Each bar below shows the best return from one signal cluster, held from the entry date through Feb 1, 2026. The SPY return over the same period is shown alongside each entry, alpha is the gap between the two.
CDNS Signal Clusters
| Entry Date | Entry Price | Return | SPY Return | Alpha vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2012 | $13.01 | +2178% | +507% | +1671% |
| May 23, 2017 | $34.02 | +771% | +229% | +542% |
| Jan 23, 2018 | $44.86 | +561% | +174% | +386% |
| Jun 25, 2019 | $69.43 | +327% | +160% | +167% |
SEDG Signal Clusters
| Entry Date | Entry Price | Return | SPY Return | Alpha vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2019 | $60.54 | -49% | +157% | -206% |
| Sep 19, 2019 | $89.42 | -65% | +151% | -216% |
| Dec 19, 2019 | $93.78 | -67% | +134% | -201% |
What This Teaches
Signal frequency is not opinion; it's the pipeline firing or not firing against the same rules. Over the 2012โ2025 window, CDNS triggered entries 4ร versus 3ร for SEDG. The lesson here isn't that one company is better than the other; it's that the template is tuned for a specific kind of setup and this pair shows which stock's price behaviour kept offering that setup.
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FAQ
Is CDNS or SEDG a better momentum stock?
In our 14-year backtest, CDNS had an average alpha of +692% per signal versus -208% for SEDG. CDNS produced 4 SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy-signal clusters vs 3 SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy-signal clusters for SEDG.
When did JumpstartSignal first flag CDNS?
Dec 11, 2012 at an entry price of $13.01 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned +2178% held to the snapshot date, versus +507% for SPY over the same period.
When did JumpstartSignal first flag SEDG?
Jun 24, 2019 at an entry price of $60.54 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned -49% held to the snapshot date, versus +157% for SPY.
Does this mean one stock is a buy and the other isn't?
No. Historical signal frequency and past returns are not buy recommendations. Our pipeline identifies entries that would have matched the template historically. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use these pages as methodology research, not investment advice.
Where does the underlying data come from?
All entries on this page come from the R27 walk-forward validated backtest covering 2012โ2025 (the 'seo_active' snapshot in our golden archive). Entry prices, returns, and SPY comparisons are computed from Stooq end-of-day OHLCV and frozen at snapshot time. See our methodology for details.