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๐Ÿง  COMPARE ยท SEDG ยท TYL

TYL vs SEDG: Buy Signal vs Watchlist-Only

How did SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG) and Tyler Technologies (TYL) fare under JumpstartSignal's 5-stage screening pipeline across our full 2012โ€“2025 walk-forward backtest? We flagged SEDG 10 times (26 signal days, first signal in 2017) and TYL 1 time (1 signal day, first signal in 2013). Every entry price, return, and SPY comparison below is from the frozen backtest snapshot.

๐Ÿ“Œ Note: SEDG only ever reached our MONITOR watchlist tier, it was never promoted to a SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal. TYL did reach SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY. That asymmetry is the story of this comparison.

Verdict: Across the 2012โ€“2025 backtest, TYL led SEDG by +246% average alpha, flagged across 1 cluster vs 10 for SEDG. The strongest TYL print was +490% held from Apr 25, 2013. Both sit in Technology. That rules out sector rotation as the explanation; what you're seeing is entry-setup frequency.

Head-to-Head Stats

SEDG ๐Ÿ“Œ MONITOR SolarEdge Technologies ยท Technology

+19%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY-196%
Win rate20% (2/10)
First flaggedAug 21, 2017
First entry price$26.05
Total signal days26

TYL โœ… OPPORTUNITY Tyler Technologies ยท Technology

+490%
Best signal return (held to Feb 1, 2026)
Avg alpha vs SPY+50%
Win rate100% (1/1)
First flaggedApr 25, 2013
First entry price$62.63
Total signal days1

Per-Signal Returns

Each bar below shows the best return from one signal cluster, held from the entry date through Feb 1, 2026. The SPY return over the same period is shown alongside each entry, alpha is the gap between the two.

SEDG Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Aug 21, 2017 $26.05 +19% +223% -204%
Sep 12, 2017 $26.40 +17% +214% -197%
Nov 8, 2017 $32.50 -5% +202% -206%
Apr 4, 2018 $54.60 -43% +194% -237%
May 22, 2018 $61.65 -50% +183% -233%
Jun 24, 2019 $60.54 -49% +157% -206%
Jul 11, 2019 $60.76 -49% +152% -202%
Aug 22, 2019 $80.90 -62% +165% -227%
Sep 19, 2019 $89.42 -65% +151% -216%
Nov 10, 2025 $45.38 -32% +2% -33%

TYL Signal Clusters

Entry DateEntry PriceReturnSPY ReturnAlpha vs SPY
Apr 25, 2013 $62.63 +490% +440% +50%

What This Teaches

You can admire a stock and still never get a trade on it. SEDG: 10 signal clusters across our backtest. TYL: 1. The screener doesn't know which is the 'better' company; it just rewards whichever chart keeps producing the entries our weights favour. Publishing both the hits and the misses is how we keep the methodology honest.

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FAQ

Did JumpstartSignal ever buy SEDG?

No. SEDG only ever cleared our weekly MONITOR tier, a watchlist of stocks matching some but not all of our buy criteria. MONITOR signals are published for research context, not executed as trades; only SPOTLIGHT and OPPORTUNITY signals enter the backtested portfolio. TYL, by contrast, did reach SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY in our pipeline; that asymmetry is the core story of this page.

Is SEDG or TYL a better momentum stock?

In our 14-year backtest, SEDG had an average alpha of -196% per signal versus +50% for TYL. SEDG produced 10 MONITOR watchlist clusters vs 1 SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy-signal cluster for TYL. Note the tier difference: MONITOR clusters are watchlist-only and were never promoted to buy signals, so cluster counts are not directly comparable across tiers.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag SEDG?

Aug 21, 2017 at an entry price of $26.05 (MONITOR watchlist tier only). That signal has returned +19% held to the snapshot date, versus +223% for SPY over the same period.

When did JumpstartSignal first flag TYL?

Apr 25, 2013 at an entry price of $62.63 (SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal). That signal has returned +490% held to the snapshot date, versus +440% for SPY.

Does this mean one stock is a buy and the other isn't?

No. Historical signal frequency and past returns are not buy recommendations. Our pipeline identifies entries that would have matched the template historically. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use these pages as methodology research, not investment advice.

Where does the underlying data come from?

All entries on this page come from the R30 walk-forward validated backtest covering 2012โ€“2025 (the 'seo_active' snapshot in our golden archive). Entry prices, returns, and SPY comparisons are computed from Stooq end-of-day OHLCV and frozen at snapshot time. See our methodology for details.