META vs NFLX: Both Watchlist-Only Signals Compared
How did Meta Platforms (META) and Netflix (NFLX) fare under JumpstartSignal's 5-stage screening pipeline across our full 2012–2025 walk-forward backtest? We flagged META 9 times (19 signal days, first signal in 2013) and NFLX 21 times (246 signal days, first signal in 2017). Every entry price, return, and SPY comparison below is from the frozen backtest snapshot.
📌 Note: Both META and NFLX only ever reached our MONITOR watchlist tier, neither was promoted to a SPOTLIGHT or OPPORTUNITY buy signal. MONITOR clusters are published here for research context, not as executed trades.
Head-to-Head Stats
META 📌 MONITOR Meta Platforms · Communication Services
NFLX 📌 MONITOR Netflix · Communication Services
Per-Signal Returns
Each bar below shows the best return from one signal cluster, held from the entry date through Feb 1, 2026. The SPY return over the same period is shown alongside each entry, alpha is the gap between the two.
META Signal Clusters
| Entry Date | Entry Price | Return | SPY Return | Alpha vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2013 | $48.99 | +1362% | +372% | +990% |
| Sep 19, 2014 | $77.91 | +820% | +314% | +506% |
| Oct 17, 2014 | $75.95 | +843% | +341% | +503% |
| Nov 28, 2014 | $77.70 | +822% | +301% | +521% |
| Dec 19, 2014 | $79.88 | +797% | +300% | +497% |
| Jan 22, 2015 | $77.65 | +823% | +301% | +522% |
| Mar 4, 2015 | $79.44 | +802% | +297% | +505% |
| Apr 22, 2015 | $84.63 | +747% | +290% | +456% |
| Jun 22, 2015 | $84.74 | +746% | +286% | +459% |
NFLX Signal Clusters
| Entry Date | Entry Price | Return | SPY Return | Alpha vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2017 | $14.72 | +467% | +236% | +231% |
| Feb 5, 2018 | $24.95 | +235% | +197% | +37% |
| Apr 10, 2018 | $29.81 | +180% | +192% | -12% |
| May 7, 2018 | $32.63 | +156% | +190% | -34% |
| Jul 11, 2018 | $41.87 | +99% | +178% | -79% |
| Jun 15, 2020 | $42.55 | +96% | +142% | -46% |
| Aug 26, 2020 | $52.39 | +59% | +111% | -52% |
| Oct 1, 2020 | $50.31 | +66% | +121% | -55% |
| Dec 18, 2020 | $52.89 | +58% | +100% | -42% |
| Apr 19, 2021 | $54.96 | +52% | +78% | -26% |
| Sep 13, 2021 | $57.78 | +44% | +64% | -20% |
| Sep 30, 2021 | $61.03 | +37% | +70% | -33% |
| Nov 8, 2023 | $43.52 | +92% | +63% | +29% |
| Dec 13, 2023 | $47.21 | +77% | +50% | +27% |
| Jan 11, 2024 | $49.22 | +70% | +48% | +22% |
| Mar 14, 2024 | $60.59 | +38% | +38% | +0% |
| May 7, 2024 | $60.60 | +38% | +36% | +2% |
| Aug 15, 2024 | $66.32 | +26% | +26% | 0% |
| Nov 25, 2024 | $86.56 | -4% | +16% | -20% |
| Jan 22, 2025 | $95.40 | -12% | +14% | -27% |
| Mar 5, 2025 | $95.00 | -12% | +22% | -34% |
What This Teaches
You can admire a stock and still never get a trade on it. NFLX: 21 signal clusters across our backtest. META: 9. The screener doesn't know which is the 'better' company; it just rewards whichever chart keeps producing the entries our weights favour. Publishing both the hits and the misses is how we keep the methodology honest.
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FAQ
Did JumpstartSignal ever buy META, NFLX?
No. META, NFLX only ever cleared our weekly MONITOR tier, a watchlist of stocks matching some but not all of our buy criteria. MONITOR signals are published for research context, not executed as trades; only SPOTLIGHT and OPPORTUNITY signals enter the backtested portfolio.
Is META or NFLX a better momentum stock?
In our 14-year backtest, META had an average alpha of +551% per signal versus -6% for NFLX. META produced 9 MONITOR watchlist clusters vs 21 MONITOR watchlist clusters for NFLX.
When did JumpstartSignal first flag META?
Nov 14, 2013 at an entry price of $48.99 (MONITOR watchlist tier only). That signal has returned +1362% held to the snapshot date, versus +372% for SPY over the same period.
When did JumpstartSignal first flag NFLX?
Apr 17, 2017 at an entry price of $14.72 (MONITOR watchlist tier only). That signal has returned +467% held to the snapshot date, versus +236% for SPY.
Does this mean one stock is a buy and the other isn't?
No. Historical signal frequency and past returns are not buy recommendations. Our pipeline identifies entries that would have matched the template historically. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use these pages as methodology research, not investment advice.
Where does the underlying data come from?
All entries on this page come from the R29 walk-forward validated backtest covering 2012–2025 (the 'seo_active' snapshot in our golden archive). Entry prices, returns, and SPY comparisons are computed from Stooq end-of-day OHLCV and frozen at snapshot time. See our methodology for details.